German weekend 9/12-9/13

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Saturday

1.Bundesliga

Schalke- Stuttgart: UNDER 2.5, 3 @ 1.90 !!2 UNITS!!
What a line!! If i had not seen the great UNDER line on N.Ireland-Moldavia this week, i would say that's the best Under i've seen for a long time. I've no idea how these teams should get 3 on the board.
Schalke has problems to score this season. especially at home.they got few scoring chances, but besides Altintop (who shoots every free kick from 45 meters in on the goal
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) schalke games look like no one tries to score.
Schalke is also not playing well at home this season. There is too much pressure for the team in front of big home crowd, which they can not handle, and let them not play relaxed and fluently.
Stuttgart on the other hand will be a strong opponent today. They are off a good start in the season. Mainly because of defence (especially away the did not allow a goal yet: scores so far are 2-0,0-0,0-0). even home game was a scoreless draw).
Nothing more to say: looking for a 1-0,0-1 or 1-1

1860 München - Köln: Köln +1/2 @ 2.10

That's basically a play on Köln, which finally got it's first points with a win over Dortmund. They should be full of confidence going into this game. They played good games away this season in Gladbach and Schalke, even if they lost, but they should have taken a minimum of 2 draws from these.
Also defense will be much stabilized today with Sichone coming back from red-card suspension after 3 weeks. i look for them staying solid on defense and being very agressive and dangerous on counter attacks.
That's a point where 1860 will be vulnurable. This season i'm not so sure what to expect from that team as they have show good and really weak perfomances so far. But the good ones were mainly away. so it looks to me that they are struggeling a bit this season to make the play,which they will have to do in today's home game.

From first view these are my only plays for Bundesliga today. will post some leanings in comments on other games later.

[This message was edited by chriscol on September 13, 2003 at 05:06 AM.]
 

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Regionalliha NORD:

This league is looking great today:

Bremen (A)- Sachsen Leipzig : Bremen to win @ 1.7
Bremen is always a strong home team in this league. also already going 2-1-0 this season, while Leipzig is new in this league and only getting 2 draws out of first 6 games. This is clearly a missmatch here.

Braunschweig- Paderborn: Braunschweig to win @1.75

it's first against 2nd. But Brunschweig is very,very strong at home. coming down from 2.Bundesliga they are off to a great start (5-1-0 so far) and really trying to dominate this league,which i expect them to do.
Paderborn will also content for promotion, but they are off a good start so far mainly because of 3 away wins against very weak team. once they are facing tougher teams they struggle as shown by lucky home draws against Bremen and Uerdingen, which are only mediocre. Strong home support will lead Braunschweig to the next home win.
 

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Wuppertal- HSV : Wuppertal to win @ 1.65

Wuppertal after a strong start got it's first set back during week in a 3-0 loss at Dresden. But that will only wake them up for today. They got strong home support and playing well especially at home. this i look to continue against a HSV team wich is close to the bottom of the league. they have conceided 9 goals in 3 away games and are simply not looking good so far this season.
 

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Record so far:

Season:
1.Bundesliga: 17-8 +7.929
2. Bundesliga:4-4 +0.86
Regionalliga: 8-7 +0.59

Total: 29-19 +9.379
 

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Short fact for today's bundesliga:

Dortmund- Bremen:
Historically good performances of Bremen in Dortmund (for Dortmund only 1 win of L$ and 6 of L13)
Both teams with key injuries: Dortmund: Ewanilson, Conceicao and (Injured during week) Amoroso. For Bremen Micoud.
Not sure how Dortmund responds after failing to qaulify for CL

Leverkusen- Hamburg: Leanings towards Leverkusen -1/2 and over
Leverkusen home games flying over so far. They are playing great at home (not like away).
Hamburg off to a bad start, many injuries.
Normally a solid play on the home team here, but history is on Hamburg's side.Only 1 home win for Leverkusen in last 5 years.

Berlin- Hannover:
Berlin still struggeling. Will not bet them until i can see team setteling down. Hannover always dangerous in away games.
Hannover got weak defense, but Berlin did not score so far this season, so total is also no play.

Schalke- Stuttgart: side
I like Stuttgart's chance to get at least a draw, cause they are the better team and schalke especially at home is struggeling, but Schalke won last 5 home games against Stuttgart, which makes it a no play for me.

Wolfsburg- Bayern:
Bayern has to win here,is the better team and has never lost in Wolfsburg.
But Wolfsburg plays very confident at home since they opened new arena. they performed well at home last season and started this season 2-0-0 and 8-3 goals at home. These stats are too strong to bet against them.
 

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Perfect day 3-0 +2.10 in Regionalliga.
1036316054.gif

Hope it continues in Bundesliga
 

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4/1 (5/1 if we count 2units on Schalke Under (I found it at @2.10 at Canbet)): very impressive.

Now I must give you something: you can choice between:

1) neteller members transfers (but I'm not certified)

2) Gamebookers members trasfers

3) you can see my Usasports picks website: 2002/2003 results are these:

ALL PLUS

YTD +196.83units

WNBA 40W/34L +3.56units
MLB/nm (DUNKEL) 30W/30L +0.70units FINAL
MLB/om (DUNKEL) 224/168L +9.67units FINAL
NBA 87W/75L +35.56units FINAL
CBB 109W/89L +94.27 units FINAL
NFL 14W/10L +31.42 units FINAL
CFL 15W/16L +1.15 units FINAL
NHL 97W/109L +2.74 units FINAL

MLB/om medium stake: 2units; others: 5units


MLB (Without Dunkel Index): 29W/29L +17.35units



Otherwise you can e-mail me at

ugopor@freemail.it


Tx, , bye and.... keep the good work!!!
 

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Sunday Bundesliga

Gladbach- Frankfurt: Gladbach to win @ 1.80

Frankfurt is the worstteam in league. only one point so far. they still have big injury problems. What are they doing? they are reactivating retired Andy Möller, who retired after last season and played a long time ago in Frankfurt.
He should controll their game in midfield.
i see the opposite effect here. He did not play since last summer. He will not be very fit (that's also what reports are saying) and the weak Frankfurt squad will give him 90 min. the ball and give him all the responsibility.
Möller's return will be more an accuse for other players not to try themselves.
This team only got a chance if playing together as a "team". i see the opposite coming for today + they will rely on a "non-fit" player.

On the other hand we have Gladbach, which is also struggeling in lastgames. Pressure on coach and team is already massive. But they are playing at home,where they got only win this season and where they got almost all their points last season. Strong home support will lead them to a win over confused Gladbach.

[This message was edited by chriscol on September 14, 2003 at 04:43 AM.]
 

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